Disaster

Winning friends and influencing people

Mutton-chopped millenarian (and sort-of Bristolian) Josh Hart provides an entertaining moment of awkwardness at a recent climate-change event by criticising the underlying rationale for carbon offsets (or indulgences).

Josh – officially holier-than-thou – is creditably committed to his philosophy, certainly more so than many in the environmental movement. However, while I share Josh’s scepticism about carbon offsetting having any useful purpose, we diverge considerably on the wider issue of the imminence of catastrophic climate change.

For clarification, if we’re doing name-calling then I believe I’m what is known as a “luke-warmist”, in that I’m familiar with the basic physics (Stefan-Boltzmann Law) describing the effect of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration on global temperature . [Memo to self: scan photos of Fourier’s grave at Père Lachaise.]

On the other hand, I find the bootstrapping of this fundamental science into social policy and computer models of catastrophic climate change, positive atmospheric feedback and precautionary cessation of economic activity rather implausible.

Josh had this to say in his latest appeal to authority:

There is no doubt that there is massive denial about the issue of climate change in our society […]

Whenever something huge and morally repugnant is going on in a society, people use psychological mechanisms to shield themselves from the harsh reality- to try and convince ourselves that we are good and moral people after all.

In the face of our holocaust upon the natural world that is currently unfolding, we make up little stories in our heads to explain our ongoing destructive behavior [sic. unless you’re American].

The train drivers who brought Jews from the ghettos to the death camps during WWII were no different.  They knew- deep down- what the fate of their victims would be, but they never spoke of it out loud. To do so would break the spell- bring a reality forward that was too painful to bear.

Godwin’s Law invoked. And calm down, dear.

Northern European Air Traffic grounded

It would appear the cloud of Icelandic Volcano Ash – spouting from beneath the Eyjafjallajökull glacier - has now grounded aircraft in most of Northern Europe. (Ash cloud image via eumetsat.int).

icelandvolcanodust

As I write this, I’m looking at my Plane Finder iPhone app (free version), and the FlightRadar24.com website. The skies are empty across the UK, Scandinavia, Germany and Northern France. The only plane this side of Poland heading north is an Emirates Sky Cargo 747.

Volcanic Ash – particularly where the ejected material is quickly cooled by water vapour - is a mixture of rock particles and tiny bits of glass, which is almost the perfect combination of materials to knacker a jet engine. The rock abrades sensitive components and blocks air filters, while the glass melts into a sticky, boiling hot soup that block sensors and solidifies as it leaves the hottest part of the engine. The effect can be catastrophic.

An incident I recall reading about was the story of British Airways Flight 9, a Boeing 747 caught in an ash cloud ejected by Mount Galunggung in 2009.  Captain Eric Moody’s announcement was the sort of understatement that makes one proud to be British:

Ladies and gentlemen, this is your captain speaking. We have a small problem. All four engines have stopped. We are doing our damnedest to get them under control. I trust you are not in too much distress.

After some frantic procedures, reading the manual and pondering the thought of becoming the first crew to ditch a 747 in the ocean, the two pilots and flight engineer managed to restart the engines and limp to the nearest runway through ash-clouded skies with a windscreen ash-abraded to the point of being opaque. Captain Moody later described it as:

a bit like negotiating one's way up a badger's arse

If you’re a holiday maker, try not to be too upset about your cancelled flights; better an unexpected coach trip than a memorial service. And consider that Flight 09 encountered a dust cloud with relatively little glass content.

Hit & Run 24.07.09

Cabot Circus Car Crash

I hadn’t realised this was a suicide bid. The Evening Post has the story and some pretty grim photos.

Western Electrification

The BBC’s Dave Harvey writes a good post on the electrification of the Great Western Railway.

If you had a vital meeting in London, or were heading up to see a show, what would you pay to get there a minute earlier?

I ask because Transport Ministers reckon a minute of our precious time is worth £83m. You read that right. Today's plan to electrify the Great Western Railway costs £1bn. It will shave 12 minutes off the Paddington to Temple Meads journey. Value for money?

Snail Blowing

The Bristol Blue Glass factory demonstrates how to blow a snail:

Bristol Renaissance Faire

Gadzooks and hey nonny nonny. Herewith be verily some videos from the 2009 Bristol Renaissance Faire, Wisconsin (previously discussed here).

Lizard Watch

Local {journalist?} Tony Gosling discusses Common Purpose with Brian Gerish.

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